Diamondbacks at Phillies (Dana DeMuth): DeMuth has shown one of the strongest OVER biases since 2016, so it’s no surprise that the OVER cashed in DeMuth’s two games behind the plate at Citizens Bank Park since 2015 (Was 2-5 prior to 2015).
Cardinals at Marlins (Chris Segal): Segal owns a slight Under bias, but that surprisingly has not held true at Marlins Park (a pitchers park) where the OVER is 4-1 in Segal’s five games calling balls & strikes there.
Pirates at Braves (Mark Carlson): Carlson owns one of the strongest OVER biases in MLB since 2016. The UNDER is 7-5-1 in his 13 career games behind the plate in Atlanta, BUT they were all prior to 2016.
Cubs at Rockies (Gary Cederstrom): Cederstrom shows a slight UNDER bias, BUT that has not held true when he’s behind the plate at the king of hitters parks, Coors Field. The OVER is 11-3 when Cederstrom calls balls & strikes at Coors, including a perfect 5-0 since 2015.
Athletics at Rays (David Rackley): Another case where the overall and the park-specific data conflict. Rackley shows a solid OVER bias overall, BUT the UNDER is 5-2-1 when he’s behind the plate at Tropicana Field (4-0 since 2017).
Rangers at Red Sox (Angel Hernandez): More conflicting data. Hernandez shows a decent UNDER bias overall, BUT the OVER is 12-8-1 when he calls balls & strikes at Fenway Park.
Nationals at White Sox (Chad Whitson): Whitson does not show any real overall bias. The UNDER is 3-2 in his five career games behind the plate at Guaranteed Rate Field.
Dodgers at Angels (Nic Lentz): Lentz shows a pretty strong OVER bias overall, but the Under cashed in his only career game calling balls & strikes at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
All other games are Game 1 of a series, so HPU won’t be announced until shortly before game time.
